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Publications

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Betts, K., Sawyer, K., Standing Committee on Emerging Science for Environmental Health Decisions, Board on Life Sciences, Division on Earth and Life Studies, & National Research Council. (2015). Modeling the Health Risks of Climate Change: Workshop Summary. Washington, DC: National Academies Press.
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Abstract: Climate change poses risks to human health and well-being through shifting weather patterns, increases in frequency and intensity of heat waves and other extreme weather events, rising sea levels, ocean acidification, and other environmental effects. Those risks occur against a backdrop of changing socioeconomic conditions, medical technology, population demographics, environmental conditions, and other factors that are important in determining health. Models of health risks that reflect how health determinants and climate changes vary in time and space are needed so that we can inform adaptation efforts and reduce or prevent adverse health effects. Robust health risk models could also help to inform national and international discussions about climate policies and the economic consequences of action and inaction.
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Blunden, J. and D. S. A., Eds. (2020). State of the Climate in 2019 (Vol. 101).
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Abstract: An international, peer-reviewed publication released each summer, the State of the Climate is the authoritative annual summary of the global climate published as a supplement to the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. The report, compiled by NOAA's National Centers for Environmental Information, is based on contributions from scientists from around the world. It provides a detailed update on global climate indicators, notable weather events, and other data collected by environmental monitoring stations and instruments located on land, water, ice, and in space. This is the 30th issuance of the annual assessment now known as State of the Climate, published in the Bulletin since 1996. As a supplement to the Bulletin, its foremost function is to document the status and trajectory of many components of the climate system. However, as a series, the report also documents the status and trajectory of our capacity and commitment to observe the climate system.
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Displacement Solutions. (2015). One Step at a Time: The Relocation Process of the Gardi Sugdub Community in Gunayala, Panama.
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Emrich, C. T., Morath, D. P., Bowser, G. C., & Reeves, R. (2014). Climate-Sensitive Hazards in Florida: Identifying and Prioritizing Threats to Build Resilience against Climate Effects. Hazards and Vulnerability Research Institute.
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Fiske, S. J., Crate, S.A., Crumley, C.L., Galvin, K., Lazrus, H., Lucero, L. Oliver-Smith, A., Orlove, B., Strauss, S., Wilk, R. (2014). Changing the Atmosphere: Anthropology and Climate Change. Arlington, VA: American Anthropological Association.
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Florida Atlantic University. (2012). Summary Update/Information Packet.
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Frank, K., Volk, M., & Jourdan, D. (2015). Planning for Sea Level Rise in the Matanzas Basin: Opportunities for Adaptation. Gainesville, FL: University of Florida.
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Garces, K. P., Bloetscher, F., Mitsova, D., Chung-Bridges, K., & Hamilton, K. (2016). Health and Sea-level rise: Impacts on South Florida. West Palm Beach, FL: Florida Institute for Health Innovation.
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Hall, J. A., Gill, S, Obeysekera, J., Sweet, W., Knuuti, K., & Marburger, J. (2016). Regional Sea Level Scenarios for Coastal Risk Management: Managing the Uncertainty of Future Sea Level Change and Extreme Water Levels for Department of Defense Coastal Sites Worldwide. U.S. Department of Defense, Strategic Environmental Research and Development Program.
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Harrington, J., T. Walton. (2008). Climate Change in Coastal Areas in Florida: Sea Level Rise Estimation and Economic Analysis to Year 2080.
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Jagger, M., Kintziger, K., Stockdale, E., & Watkins, S. (2014). Health Effects of Precipitation Abundance and Deficits in Florida. Tallahassee, FL: Florida Department of Health, Division of Disease Control and Health Protection, Bureau of Epidemiology, Building Resilience Against Climate Effects Program.
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Jones, J. W., Berry, L., & Chassignet, E. (2012). SUS Climate Change Task Force: Science Addressing the Needs of Florida Agencies, Industry, and Citizenry - Final Project Report (Vol. January 31).
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Keywords: State University System of Florida
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Jones, J. W., Boote, K. J., Bartels, W. - L., Baigorria, G., Hoogenboom, G., & Hayhoe, K. (2012). Iconic Agricultural Crops: Climate Change Impacts on Peanut, Cotton and Corn in Georgia and Florida: Final Project Report.
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Keenan, J. M., & Mattiuzzi, E. (2019). Climate Adaptation Investment and the Community Reinvestment Act. Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
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Mitchum, G. T. (2011). Sea level changes in the southeastern United States: past, present, and future. Florida Climate Institute/Southeast Climate Consortium.
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Abstract: This paper is about past, present, and future sea level changes in the southeastern United States. It is aimed at non-scientists and scientists who are not specialists in sea level change. Although this report is about our specific part of the world, sea level change in any region is best viewed in the context of global sea level changes. This should be seen as encouraging, though, since measuring and predicting global sea level change is a much easier problem than predicting the changes at any particular location along a coastline. Global sea level measures the volume of the oceans. This volume can change only if we add or remove water, or if we change the mean density of the water in the oceans. The most likely way to change the density is to warm or cool the oceans. For example, warmer water is less dense and therefore takes up more space, thus raising the sea level. So determining global sea level change is a relatively easy problem since we only have to determine how much water is added or subtracted from the oceans, or how much the oceans on average are warmed or cooled. Regional and local relative sea level changes, on the other hand, are strongly influenced by land motion. Many people do not realize that the land we are standing upon is also slowly moving up and down. If the land is sinking, then the sea level appears to be rising, and vice versa. Also, even if the oceans are globally warming, that does not mean that the associated sea level increase will be felt everywhere uniformly. If our region is warming at an anomalously high rate, then we will see a higher rate of sea level change. Similarly, if the water added from ice melt does not immediately spread out over the entire ocean, then we may see higher or lower rates of sea level change. At present we do not know if our region is set to be a winner or a loser in this game. Fortunately, though, the present sea level changes in the southeastern US region can be accounted for largely by the global changes once we take into account the local and regional land motions. The latter are small at most stations in our region, but nonetheless need to be accounted for. In some areas along our coastlines the land motions are in fact dominant. I will suggest that the best projection of the future is about 80 centimeters of global sea level increase by 2100, an increase we need to plan for in our region. This is somewhat larger than the most recent global assessment from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, but I will argue that it is likely our present best guess. Unfortunately, the uncertainties in these analyses lead me to conclude that the probability of a larger increase is more likely than the chance that it will be substantially smaller. It may seem a bit tangential, but I will also suggest that episodic changes due to changes in storm tracks, frequencies, and intensities should not be ignored. Climate change will almost certainly be felt most strongly as changes in what we call weather. Such changes are potentially the most important thing that we need to predict in the coming decades. Finally, I will say that we can likely reduce the uncertainty in sea level rise rates over the next 10 years, but only if we maintain the superb observational system that we have in place now. We are now able to determine sea level change from the global scale, to the regional scale, and down to the local scale. If we simply continue to make the observations that we are making now for another decade, then we will most likely be able to intelligently inform the public about the real risks that might be associated with climate change.
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Morrissey, J., & Oliver-Smith, A. (2013). Perspectives on Non-Economic Loss and Damage: Understanding value at risk from climate change. Bonn: UNU-EHS Publication Series.
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Abstract: Loss and damage pertains to those impacts of climate change which cannot be adapted to, and therefore result in net losses. Currently there is no international protocol describing with whom responsibility on this matter lies, or how to address it. There is currently good data documenting how losses and damages, as a result of extreme events, have increased However it needs to be appreciated that much of that which will be potentially lost or damaged as a result of climate change cannot be accurately captured in economic terms. The fact that non-economic losses and damages are difficult to assess, quantify and aggregate means that they may well be excluded from policy discussions. Such exclusion will result in an underestimation of the potential costs of climate change, thereby compromising our decision-making ability on how to respond to climate change, with potentially significant implications for both social justice and human well-being.
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Noss, R. F., Reece, J. S., Hoctor, T., & Oetting, J. (2014). Adaptation to Sea-Level Rise in Florida: Biological Conservation Priorities.
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Oliver-Smith, A. (2009). Nature, Society and Population Displacement: Toward an Understanding of Environmental Migration and Social Vulnerability. Bonn: United Nations University - Institute of Environment and Human Security.
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Oliver-Smith, A. (2009). Sea Level Rise and the Vulnerability of Coastal Peoples: Responding to the Local Challenges of Global Climate Change in the 21st Century. Bonn: UNU-EHS.
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Oliver-Smith, A., Cutter, S. L., Warner, K., Corendea, C., & Yuzva, K. (2012). Addressing loss and damage in the context of social vulnerability and resilience. Bonn: UNU-EHS Publication Series.
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