Climate Decision Support in the Gulf States: Assessing the Impacts of Key Uncertainties in End-to-End Assessments - Florida Climate Institute

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Collaborators: G. Baigorria, L. DeWayne Cecil, , J. Jones

Institutions: Columbia University, University of Florida

Funding Agency: NASA

Start: March 2010    End: February 2012

Status: Funded

Filed Under: Climate Sciences

Abstract: The overall objective of this project is to evaluate the impacts of uncertainty throughout the climate impacts assessment process to identify the most crucial options and provide more robust analysis for climate change decision support, thereby improving risk management and the development of sustainable adaptation strategies in the agricultural sector. NASA remote sensing tools (including several high-resolution precipitation products and surface insolation measurements) and modeling systems (including the Modern Era Retrospective Analysis; MERRA) will also be introduced into the impacts assessment process and their impacts on final decision support estimated. Three specific objectives for this project come from investigations of uncertainties introduced in the selection of assessment options in each of the three major steps of climate impacts assessment

  1. To determine how the selection of data for a baseline climate record, used to represent a historical period for the calibration of the impacts assessment model, affects projected climate impacts and related decision support in the agricultural sector in Gulf Coast States.
  2. To determine how the selection of a climate impacts assessment model, along with its management options and level of generality, affects projected climate impacts and related decision support in the agricultural sector in Gulf Coast States.
  3. To determine how the selection of a method to produce future climate scenarios and the parameters capable of changing under future climate conditions affect projected climate impacts and related decision support in the agricultural sector in Gulf Coast States.